Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.029027 0.031811 0.034557 0.037461 0.040443 0.043408 0.046577
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.023738 0.028259 0.032827 0.037762 0.042921 0.048133 0.053780
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019387 0.025018 0.030839 0.037241 0.044029 0.050968 0.058560
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016077 0.022492 0.029270 0.036840 0.044964 0.053346 0.062585
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013188 0.020151 0.027675 0.036207 0.045462 0.055089 0.065767
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.010978 0.018374 0.026545 0.035938 0.046225 0.056997 0.069007
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009481 0.017286 0.026083 0.036311 0.047597 0.059477 0.072775
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007508 0.015472 0.024694 0.035570 0.047680 0.060506 0.074928
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006142 0.014281 0.023945 0.035481 0.048422 0.062194 0.077733
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004801 0.012996 0.023012 0.035128 0.048823 0.063470 0.080052
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003545 0.011681 0.021976 0.034604 0.048991 0.064453 0.082016
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002127 0.009909 0.020292 0.033271 0.048207 0.064356 0.082775
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001575 0.009477 0.020378 0.034151 0.050083 0.067363 0.087115
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000873 0.008639 0.019947 0.034447 0.051342 0.069743 0.090833
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000183 0.007373 0.018880 0.033942 0.051659 0.071057 0.093368
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006278 0.017952 0.033554 0.052070 0.072442 0.095946
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005152 0.016881 0.032940 0.052182 0.073461 0.098092
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004307 0.016132 0.032680 0.052673 0.074877 0.100645
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003839 0.015899 0.033041 0.053866 0.077059 0.104021
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002911 0.014845 0.032322 0.053766 0.077764 0.105743
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002347 0.014308 0.032236 0.054389 0.079264 0.108325
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001740 0.013599 0.031895 0.054687 0.080379 0.110462
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001151 0.012789 0.031387 0.054766 0.081226 0.112283